02 February 2009

If this is Voter Suppression...


Over the last couple of years, we have heard the whines and moans of the "progressives" telling us that for the government to expect people who are voting to meet the same standards of identification as Blockbuster Video would suppress the vote of the poor, the elderly, blacks and others that "progressives" regard as too stupid to rent a DVD.

But, the WSJ reports:

Since the election of Barack Obama, we haven't heard a word about such claims...

In the first place, numerous academic studies show that voter ID had no effect on the turnout of voters in prior elections. The plaintiffs in every unsuccessful lawsuit filed against such state requirements could not produce a single individual who didn't either already have an ID or couldn't easily get one.


Second are the figures emerging from the November election. If what liberals claimed was true, Democratic voters in states with strict photo ID requirements would presumably have had a much more difficult time voting, and their turnout dampened in comparison to other states. Well, that myth can finally be laid to rest.


The two states with the strictest voter ID requirements are Indiana and Georgia. Both require a government-issued photo ID....


The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies (JCPES) found that black turnout in the 2008 election was at a historic high, having increased substantially from 2004. The total share of black voters in the national vote increased from 11% to 13% according to exit polls, with 95% of blacks voting for Mr. Obama.


So what happened in Georgia where the ACLU, the NAACP and other such groups claimed the state's photo ID law was intended to depress black turnout? ... Georgia had the largest turnout in its history, with nearly four million voters... According to the JCPES, the black share of the statewide vote increased in Georgia from 25% in the 2004 election, when the photo ID law was not in effect, to 30% in the 2008 election, when the photo ID law was in effect...


In Indiana, which the Supreme Court said had the strictest voter ID law in the country, the turnout of Democratic voters in the November election increased by 8.32 percentage points... The nearby state of Illinois (no photo ID requirement) had an increase in Democratic turnout of only 4.4 percentage points -- nearly half Indiana's increase...


The JCPES predicts that when the final turnout numbers are in for the 2008 election, black turnout will probably reach a historic high of almost 67% and likely surpass white turnout for the first time. All at a time when about half of the states have passed various forms of voter ID requirements, including two states with strict photo ID laws.

The claim that Republican legislatures in Georgia and Indiana passed voter ID to depress Democratic turnout is demonstrably false. But even if it were true, they obviously failed miserably to achieve that objective given the huge increases in Democratic and minority turnout in both states...


With every election that has occurred since states have begun to implement voter ID, the evidence is overwhelming that it does not depress the turnout of voters. Indeed, it may actually increase the public's confidence that their votes will count.


I will give "progressives" the benefit of the doubt and not accuse them of trying to steal elections or being racist and agist. They are just wrong. Again.


Now they can admit it and get on board with Voter ID laws that have demonstrably increased the votes of Americans of African Ancestry!

2 comments:

Exodio said...

Obama turned out the black vote.

Requiring Voter ID is a poll tax. Unless you give the voter IDs for free.

Tony said...

I believe that one of the reasons that the Georgia and Indiana laws were upheld was that both states made free ID's available.

So no poll tax involved.